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Food vs. fuel: A false and dangerous premise

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By Steve Grasz

Thursday, May 15, 2008 - 12:31:12 am CDT

If truth is the first casualty of war, it appears the “food fight” being waged by anti-ethanol interests has nearly achieved its first casualty. The false idea that ethanol production is causing high food prices, and even food shortages around the world, has been so frequently asserted that Americans have begun to blindly accept the premise. However, when the facts are examined it is clear the wild accusations are untrue. Let’s examine several of the myths about ethanol:

Myth:  Ethanol is made from “food grains.”

Fact: Ethanol is made from “feed grains” such as corn and sorghum. “Food grains” usually refers to wheat and rice. Blaming ethanol for wheat and rice shortages is unfounded. The type of corn used to produce ethanol is otherwise used primarily for livestock feed (about 90 percent), not for human consumption.

Myth: Ethanol “consumes” a huge share of U.S. corn production.

Fact: In 2006, U.S. farmers produced 10.74 billion bushels of corn — 1.8 billion bushels went to produce ethanol. The share going to ethanol is increasing. However, making ethanol does not “consume” the corn. Ethanol production separates the starch from the other components. The protein and other nutrients remain, but in a less bulky form. One-third of the corn is converted to a high-value livestock feed called distillers grain (by dry milling) or corn gluten feed (by wet milling).

Myth: Use of corn for ethanol production is creating food shortages and causing starvation around the world.

Fact: The United States is exporting more corn today than at any time in history. Exports in 2007-08 were 2.25 billion bushels, 6 percent more than in 2006-07. The USDA recently raised U.S. corn export estimates to 2.5 billion bushels. This puts U.S. corn exports at 63 million metric tons, a new record, and 16 percent above last year.

Myth: Ethanol is responsible for high food prices.

Fact: The price of corn is a very small factor in overall food prices. Only about 10 percent of U.S. corn is processed directly into human food products (such as corn syrup, starch and cereals). In contrast, the price of oil has a significant impact on food prices, as does the value of the dollar. Some analysts have estimated that oil prices would be 15 percent higher but for ethanol production and its replacement of large quantities of petroleum. Ethanol currently supplies the same amount of fuel to Americans as our fifth-largest foreign supplier. Without it, gas prices (and food prices) would be even higher.

Less than 20 cents of each food dollar goes toward on-farm costs like grain. The value of the corn in an 18 oz. box of corn flakes cereal was 4.9 cents in 2007 (with corn at $3.40 per bushel). Today, with corn at nearly $6 per bushel, the value of the corn in a box of corn flakes is about 8.75 cents. So, even in a pure corn product, the impact on consumers is modest.

America needs ethanol now, more than ever. The U.S. imports 62 percent of its petroleum supply, and this is projected to increase to 77 percent by 2025. Oil production is declining in many areas of the world. The last time a new oil refinery was built in the United States was more than 30 years ago. Taxpayers spend billions of dollars each year on military expenditures to protect our foreign oil supply while Congress refuses to expand domestic drilling for environmental reasons. In contrast, ethanol is made from renewable resources we grow right here in the United States. Its use reduces our dependence on imported oil. The U.S. ethanol industry will have the capacity to produce 10 billion gallons in 2008.

The idea that people must choose between food and ethanol is a false and dangerous premise. The critics need to be called to account. The next time you hear or read that ethanol production is starving children overseas or causing food prices to soar, consider the all-time record amounts of corn being exported from the United States or the fact that doubling the price of corn raises the cost of a box of corn flakes by less than 4 cents — and think again.

Steve Grasz is an Omaha attorney who served as chief deputy in the Nebraska Attorney General’s office. This piece is an excerpt from a presentation he made earlier this month to the National Association of Attorneys General.


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good editorial wrote on May 15, 2008 8:17 am:
" But the matter is a bit more complicated. The pinch of corn ethanol is two fold. First, it competes with land upon which food grains could be produced. I do not know the extent of such competition and whether the allocation of land is contributing (in combination with a weak dollar and foreign weather) to increased prices. For wheat v. corn in the midwest, I don't think that is a significant phenomenon. For corn v. soybeans, I think it might be. This has an impact on the price of soy-based feed, as well as food. Second, the coproduct can primarily be fed to cattle. Thus, it could (and may well) have an impact on pork and poultry prices for the consumer. The first point also may have this effect. But, I agree, our biofuels policy is not the sole cause, and probably not the major cause of increased food prices. The coincidental timing, however, makes the connection intuitive (but likely wrong). But I would hesitate to buy into the corn flakes example. For meat production, the price of feed is a significant driver. I've not seen someone give me an example of how much of the price a pound of beef, pork or chicken is attributable to feed grains. "

russell wrote on May 15, 2008 8:40 am:
" Thank you for the information because I have been wondering when was the last time I actually consumed corn or a corn product as a food. The sweetener in my diet soda is corn base (I think) plus the gasoline I use. My conclusion is that this a power play by 'big oil' and their lobbyists to protect their financial interests and not those of US. "

Taxpayer wrote on May 15, 2008 8:54 am:
" Thank You Steve "

Big Chief wrote on May 15, 2008 10:37 am:
" Great job Steve. "

Joe wrote on May 15, 2008 10:47 am:
" There is about 3.5 pounds of corn in 1 pound of pork. At $5/bu. corn, and 56 pounds of corn per bushel, that would be 31 cents of corn per pound of pork. For chicken, it's closer to 18 cents. I don't know how much soybean meal each one consumes, but the corn example shows on a per pound basis, not much. "

Ros wrote on May 15, 2008 11:37 am:
" Mr. Grasz, please disclose the extent to which you are being (or have been) paid by those promoting and/or selling corn and/or corn-based ethanol or related interests. "

SB wrote on May 15, 2008 12:57 pm:
" No point-counter point? Why do you say ‘myth:’ and ‘fact:’ when it should be ‘argument:” and “one way to look at it:”. Myth1: ethanol is made from food grains Fact: the land used to produce feed grain could be put to food grain or back to natural CRP. Just like if America didn’t feel it needed a steak for every meal more land could go to food grains. Myth2: ethanol consumes a share of US corn production Fact: 19% of corn went to ethanol production, if ethanol only “removes the starch” and leaves all other nutrients why is it not sold at a lower price and why are livestock farmers having to compete with feed prices? Myth3: use of corn for oil creates food shortages Fact: it is well documented that food grains of all types are being pushed out for ethanol production, just ask the Mexicans and Asians. Weren’t all the genetic modifications and higher yield crops supposed to increase crop production – with the increase in ethanol production are these keeping up with the world’s needs? Myth4: ethanol is responsible for high food prices Fact: you even say it is a contributing factor so how can it be a myth? It would make more economic sense to just take the money it would cost to drill new wells and build new refineries and drop the gas taxes. Ethanol is a drain on taxes, the environment, food supplies, mileage efficiency, but bottom line we are choosing to produce gasoline rather than food because we are lazy and don’t want the actual cost of energy to put a drain on our ‘American Dream’. "

Taxpayer wrote on May 15, 2008 1:20 pm:
" Yes it is more complicated than it looks. Just because the feed grains cost more does not mean that the cattle feeder or the hog feeder can sell his product for more money. I will list some prices for commondities, the first price is today and the second price is one year ago.
Live Cattle $94.00cwt vs $97.25cwt; Live Hogs $64.00cwt vs $71.00cwt; Corn $5.63/bu vs $$3.54/bu; Soybeans $13.45/bu vs $7.56/bu; Wheat $7.66/bu vs $4,82/bu; and Soybean Meal $340.00/T vs $197/T.
Thus meat prices should actually be lower rather than higher. You see farmers are price takers rather than price setters.
A bushel of corn weighs 56lbs. 56 times 16oz/lb equals 896 oz. $5.63/bu divided by 896 oz.equals $.00628/oz multiplied by 18 oz/box of corn flakes equals $.1132/box of corn flakes. This compares to $0734/box one year ago. A $.04 increase per box of corn flakes. "

TG wrote on May 15, 2008 2:52 pm:
" For SB...About Myth1: We produce sufficient food grains, as proven in world export numbers. Perhaps your first suggestion, if you are concerned with a shortage, should be to keep our exports at home. Secondly, the amount of beef produced in this country has nothing to do with a supposed shortage of food grains. Many areas the are suitable for growing feed grains (corn) are not best suited for high production wheat and rice. Lets see you set up some rice fields here in the good ole desert of NE. Myth2: Ethanol process removes the starch from feedgrain, but the protein value stays the same. Dried by-product, with the starch removes, has crude protien percentage comparable to soybean meal. Protien is the important nutrient for fattening cattle. Why shouldn't these by-products that still have all the protien left in them be priced off anything other than comparable feed products? Myth3: There is sufficient food produced, and cheaply produced, in this world. Shortages and famines are caused by world leaders, governments, and policy, period. Myth4: The gas-tax holiday is a policitical bandaid for an election year push...it makes ABSOLUTELY NO economic sense. Convince the Dems to allow drill in ANWR and expand offshore drilling and you may be on to something. "