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Don Walton: Kleeb bid trips GOP alarm wire

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Monday, Oct 30, 2006 - 12:14:27 am CST

It is obvious now. The late injection of national Republican money and TV ads into Nebraska’s 3rd District congressional race is confirmation the GOP fears it may be about to lose a “safe” House seat in eight days.

The decision to be a player in the western and central Nebraska district follows GOP polling in the contest between Republican nominee Adrian Smith and Democratic nominee Scott Kleeb.

No one is sharing results from the Republican poll, but it’s clear they were sufficiently alarming for the GOP to send in the cavalry with TV ads attacking Kleeb.

One recent private poll in the district showed Kleeb moving into a narrow lead.

In the waning days of this battle, now the marquee race in Nebraska, the anti-tax Club for Growth also has dispatched a new bundle of funding into the state to help Smith.

Kleeb raised $105,000 during the first 18 days of October to bring his fund-raising total to $708,000, an unprecedented figure for a Democratic candidate in the heavily Republican district.

Smith raised $84,000 during the same period, bringing his total to $1.1 million, as of Oct. 18.

A Grand Island Independent editorial last week endorsing Smith demonstrated the spotlight is on Kleeb. Nine paragraphs were devoted to the Democratic nominee, one to Smith.

Kleeb’s “carefully crafted centrist/populist message has resonated across the 3rd District,” the newspaper said, but there is reason to question “the level of experience and legitimacy he brings to the race.”

Smith, the newspaper said, “best represents Nebraska’s core values: hearth, home, right to life, minimally intrusive government and the will to lessen the tax burden on one of the most heavily taxed regions of the nation.”

The Sidney Sun-Telegraph, which chose Pete Ricketts over Ben Nelson in the Senate race, endorsed Kleeb with this observation: “As we watched Kleeb speak at the Sidney Community Center, we could not help notice just how many Republicans came out to meet the Democratic candidate.”

We’ve got a race to the wire out there with a week to go.

Kleeb on horseback in TV ads; Smith riding an elephant.

Meanwhile, in the 2nd

Yes, Lee Terry says, he’ll consider a Senate bid in 2008 if Chuck Hagel decides not to seek a third term.

But that doesn’t mean he’d do it.

“I’d sit down with Robyn (his wife), and we’d decide if the timing was right,” Terry said last week over a cup of coffee at The Mill.

“With the kids as our priority, running a statewide race while being in Congress would be tough,” the Omaha Republican congressman said.

The Terrys have three young sons.

Other observations from Nebraska’s senior House member, who is seeking his fifth term:

* “I don’t think we’re going to lose the House. Things are starting to break our way (in) bellwether races in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio and Connecticut.”

* If he were to find himself in the minority for the first time, he believes his demonstrated willingness to work with Democrats while a member of the majority would help him be effective, “even though it’ll be tougher.”

* “If you want nothing done, you would love a divided government” in Washington. The current Senate, where 60 votes are required to jump most controversial hurdles, is the best example of how it would work, he says.

Finishing up

* Duane Acklie will be honored by the Nebraska Society of Washington with its distinguished Nebraskan award on Nov. 14.

* Ricketts received the endorsement of the Norfolk Daily News, which posed these questions: “Do northeast Nebraskans think it is important for the U.S. Senate to continue to be controlled by the Republican Party? Do they think it is important for a majority of senators to have conservative viewpoints on a variety of issues?”

* Another business nod to Nelson: The National Association of Manufacturers honored the senator in Omaha last week for his 84 percent “pro-growth, pro-manufacturing” voting record in the Senate.

* Despite tax cuts in Nebraska, the Cato Institute gave Dave Heineman a grade of C in its 2006 fiscal policy report card on the nation’s governors issued last week.

* Hagel will speak at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln on Wednesday and at Nebraska Wesleyan University on Thursday.

* Kleeb is at nearby Doane College in Crete tonight, speaking at the Whitcomb Lee Conservatory at 7 p.m.

* October SurveyUSA job performance approval ratings in Nebraska: Heineman, 69 percent; Nelson, 64 percent; Hagel, 60 percent; President Bush, 46 percent.

* The mid-October Rasmussen Reports automated telephone survey of 500 likely voters in Nebraska: Nelson, 54 percent, Ricketts, 34 percent. 

* Ah, do I feel a pulse in Lincoln’s private sector?

* Uh, dumb question from the bleacher seats, I suppose, after watching the Huskers survive against Kansas and lay an egg in Stillwater: Can we, will we, do we adjust, especially on defense, when the opponent has adjusted or the game plan ain’t going so well?

* Mizzou. It used to be a big game and now it is again. Tiger hunt Saturday with the season on the line.

Reach Don Walton at 473-7248 or dwalton@journalstar.com.


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KLM wrote on October 30, 2006 2:44 am:
" Don should also note that the Kearney newspaper endorsed Scott Kleeb over Adrian Smith, writing: "Smith is friendly, but not dynamic. He’s understandable when he speaks, but not inspirational. He’s faithful to his conservative ideals, but is short on new ideas. In other words, Smith possesses most of the qualities that play well on the 3rd District stage, but western Nebraskans need to elect someone who can make a splash on a bigger stage....Kleeb will know the questions to ask in Congress. Given his ability to captivate and motivate, he also should be able to convince his 434 colleagues that rural Nebraska’s problems need to be addressed." The only reason to support Smith over Kleeb is if voters really care more about Dennis Hastert's job security than their own. "

Lindsay wrote on October 30, 2006 7:57 am:
" Kleeb is the type of guy who is the hope for Nebraska's future. Young, highly educated...he defies the brain drain that effects rural Nebraska. "

what happened to sara? wrote on October 30, 2006 8:23 am:
" Adrian Smith's website used to be plastered with pictures of a campaign appearance with country singing star Sara Evans and her husband, Craig Schelske, but that was before Evans filed for divorce from Schelske. Smith hasn't even been elected, and he's already managed to attach himself to a scandal. "

what poll wrote on October 30, 2006 8:33 am:
" Which private poll is Walton Referring to? I haven't seen any reporting on a non-partisan poll in the 3rd district. I don't believe the LJS has released. Why not give us the numbers? "

I am sorry... what? wrote on October 30, 2006 8:43 am:
" Lee Terry wants to be a senator... that's it, I am moving out of this state! "

Re: what poll wrote on October 30, 2006 9:42 am:
" It was a private Republican poll to get the pulse of the 3rd District. Needless to say, the results surprised them. "

Dave K wrote on October 30, 2006 10:20 am:
" What scandal are you referring to? Are you referring to the personal troubles of a country music star? I know liberals' definition of a scandal expands like the blue Montana sky when conservatives are involved, but Sara Evans' divorce? Give us a break. "

Re: Re: what poll wrote on October 30, 2006 11:18 am:
" Yeah, but he seems to be talking about a different poll from the Republican one in the next paragraph: "One recent private poll in the district showed Kleeb moving into a narrow lead." Which is information we wouldn't know since "No one is sharing results from the Republican poll". "

Al wrote on October 30, 2006 2:47 pm:
" I have also been confused following this race due to all of the supposed closeness of this race with no real polling information being made public. It's pretty hard to tell whether this is just media hype or a race that is truly winnable for Kleeb. For all we know, it could be 45% Smith, 30% Kleeb, but I'll bet it is much closer to 40%/40% at this time. "

steve wrote on October 30, 2006 4:23 pm:
" This central Ne. republican thinks Kleeb will win by 5-6% He is the talk of the towns. And I hope he does. "

As a former resident wrote on October 30, 2006 4:48 pm:
" As a former resident of the 3rd District, if Kleeb wins I might think about moving back. I know there are reasoning, independent-minded folks out there, but they always seem to be outnumbered by an army of dogmatic Republicans who have no need for evidence, much less the Enlightenment, and dutifully vote in whatever pitiful Republican drone the GOP decides to wind up and run. My wish is courage for the 3rd District. Courage to go against your habits and follow your gut that's telling you things just are not right in this country. And, if Don Walton's right and the GOP "trip-wire" has been set off so that they're pouring resources into the campaign, just let me say in advance to ignore it when they attempt to brand Kleeb a gay African American who abuses farm animals, or whatever similar ugliness the Republican National Committee will cook up. Go Kleeb in the 3rd! Make the nation take notice! "

Kleeb Supporter wrote on October 30, 2006 6:05 pm:
" The Reps won't report any numbers, but the Kleeb campaign got a poll in today that showed Scott aheady 46-40 on Likely voters, and 48-40 on definite voters. It's online now if you do a news search and look at Dailykos. "

whatever wrote on October 30, 2006 6:35 pm:
" Lee Terry has to be as clueless a representative Nebraska has ever had. Did I read this quote right "If you want nothing done, you would love a divided government” in Washington. The current Senate, where 60 votes are required to jump most controversial hurdles, is the best example of how it would work, he says." Mr. Terry, we have the Republicans in control of the House, the Senate and the Presidency, can you honestly point to anything meaningful that has been accomplished? Retire your thoughts of a Senate race as I believe the time of the "do nothing" Republican lap dogs has passed. Let's hope Scott Kleeb wins in the 3rd, he's our best bet for a good senator in the future. "